Future prospective and Delphi method: an application in the house building supply chain

Authors

  • Luiz Reynaldo de Azevedo Cardoso Universidade de São Paulo
  • Alex Kenya Abiko Universidade de São Paulo
  • Heitor Cesar Riogi Haga Universidade de São Paulo
  • Kelly Paiva Inouye Universidade de São Paulo
  • Orestes Marraccini Gonçalves Universidade de São Paulo

Keywords:

Delphi, método de pesquisa, prospectiva, prospecção tecnológica, cadeia produtiva da construção habitacional

Abstract

This article aims to present and discuss the prospective vision of the future of the house building supply chain, using the Delphi method. Initially, some key concepts related to the prospective vision and the main characteristics of prospective studies are presented, including different approaches, aims, and methods. The Delphi method is also discussed, focusing on its origins, aims, description, advantages, disadvantages and applicability. Then, the prospective study on the Brazilian house building supply chain using Delphi method is described. A detailed description of the research method adopted is presented, including the preparation of the questionnaire, its application, and the data processing and the analysis of results. Finally, an evaluation of Delphi method and the approach for prospective studies adopted is presented, and some recommendations for further studies are made.

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How to Cite

CARDOSO, L. R. de A.; ABIKO, A. K.; HAGA, H. C. R.; INOUYE, K. P.; GONÇALVES, O. M. Future prospective and Delphi method: an application in the house building supply chain. Ambiente Construído, [S. l.], v. 5, n. 3, p. 63–76, 2008. Disponível em: https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/ambienteconstruido/article/view/3650. Acesso em: 24 jun. 2025.

Issue

Vol. 5 No. 3 (2005): Edição Especial Metodologia de Pesquisa

Section

Artigos

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ISSN 1678-8621

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