Scenarios of “overshoot & collapse” dynamics in leading Brazilian journals in Information Science
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.19132/1808-5245240.258-277Keywords:
Publicações científicas, periódicos, Qualis Capes, Dinâmica de sistemas, Produtivismo acadêmico, Revisão por pares, Comunicação científica.Abstract
Brazilian journals in Information Science typically depend on semi-voluntary work, with scarce resources. The inclusion of some of these in reputable databases gives them status and attracts more and more submissions, without resource scalability. This article explores this context through a system dynamics model that represents stocks and flows of papers throughout the editorial process. We run 22 alternative scenarios, with different submissions, with or without interventions (interruption of submissions and sharp increase in desk rejections). Several of these scenarios indicate the journal’s imminent risk of collapsing, regardless of interventions that alleviate the burden only momentarily. Few overburdened editors sustain the system’s continuity.Downloads
References
ALPERIN, Juan Pablo (@juancommander). “I wouldn't think of it as a lesser journal. Any journal that takes 8 months to reply to an initial submission is not a good journal”. 9:42 PM, 21 mar. 2018. Twitter. Disponível em: https://twitter.com/juancommander/status/976620158314663936. Acesso em: 18 dez. 2018.
BARATA, Rita de Cássia Barradas. Dez coisas que você deveria saber sobre o Qualis. Revista Brasileira de Pós-Graduação, v. 13, n. 30, p. 13-40, 2016.
BLATTMANN, Ursula; SANTOS, Raimundo Nonato Macedo dos. Revistas científicas brasileiras e sua visibilidade no acesso aberto. Informação & Sociedade, v. 24, n. 3, p. 99-106, 2014.
CARELLI, Ana Esmeralda; GIANNASI-KAIMEN, Maria Júlia. Os periódicos científicos no compartilhamento da informação e do conhecimento: aspectos extrínsecos dos periódicos eletrônicos Qualis A da área de ciência da informação. Encontros Bibli, v. 14, n. 27, 2009.
CASADEVALL, Arturo; FANG, Ferric C. Impacted science: impact is not importance. mBio, v. 6, n. 5, 2015.
COLE, Hugh S. D.; FREEMAN, C.; JAHODA, M.; PAVITT, K. L. Thinking about the future: a critique of The Limits to Growth. Londres: Chatto & Windus, 1973.
FERREIRA, Aurélio Buarque de Hollanda. Novo Aurélio Século XXI: o dicionário da língua portuguesa. 3. ed. rev. ampl. Rio de Janeiro: Nova Fronteira, 1999.
GARFIELD, Eugene. The history and meaning of the journal impact factor. Journal of the American Medical Association, v. 295, n. 1, p. 90-93, 2006.
GROVES, Trish; ABBASI, Kamran. Screening research papers by reading abstracts: Please get the abstract right, because we may use it alone to assess your paper. BMJ: British Medical Journal, v. 329, n. 7464, p. 470-471, 2004.
KERN, Vinícius Medina; URIONA MALDONADO, Mauricio. Hipercrescimento e colapso: Conjeturando cenários da sobrecarga das revistas científicas brasileiras líderes na Ciência da Informação. In: ENCONTRO BRASILEIRO DE BIBLIOMETRIA E CIENTOMETRIA (EBBC), 6, 2018, Rio de Janeiro. Anais... Rio de Janeiro,RJ: UFRJ, 2018. p. 90-98.
LÓPEZ, Luis; ZÚÑIGA, Roy. Dynamics of judicial service supply chains. Journal of Business Research, v. 67, n. 7, p. 1447-1454, 2014.
MEADOWS, Donella H.; MEADOWS, Dennis L. The history and conclusions of The Limits to Growth. System Dynamics Review, v. 23, n. 2‐3, p. 191-197, 2007.
MEADOWS, Donella H.; MEADOWS, Dennis L.; RANDERS, Jørgen; BEHRENS III, William W. The limits to growth: a report for The Club of Rome's project on the predicament of mankind. New York: Universe Books, 1972. Disponível em: http://www.donellameadows.org/wp-content/userfiles/Limits-to-Growth-digital-scan-version.pdf. Acesso em: 23 set. 2018.
MEADOWS, Donella H.; RANDERS, Jørgen; MEADOWS, Dennis L. The limits to growth: the 30-year update. White River Junction-VT: Chelsea Green Publishing, 2004.
NASCIMENTO, Carla Cristina do; MUGNAINI, Rogerio. Qualidade de revistas científicas: um estudo da literatura publicada entre 2003 e 2013. In: ENCONTRO NACIONAL DE PESQUISA EM CIÊNCIA DA INFORMAÇÃO (ENANCIB), 17., 2016, Salvador. Anais… Salvador-BA: UFBA; ANCIB, 2016.
OLIVA, Rogelio; STERMAN, John D. Cutting corners and working overtime: quality erosion in the service industry. Management Science, v. 47, n. 7, p. 894-914, 2001.
RANDERS, Jørgen. Elements of the system dynamics method. Portland-OR: Productivity Press, 1980.
RUDOLPH, Jenny W.; REPENNING, Nelson P. Disaster dynamics: understanding the role of quantity in organizational collapse. Administrative Science Quarterly, v. 47, p. 1-30, 2002.
SILVA, Jaime A. Teixeira da; DOBRÁNSZKI, Judit. Excessively long editorial decisions and excessively long publication times by journals: causes, risks, consequences, and proposed solutions. Publishing Research Quarterly, v. 33, n. 1, p. 101-108, 2017.
STERMAN, John D. Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. Boston: McGraw-Hill, 2000.
SYSTEM DYNAMICS SOCIETY. What is SD: Introduction to system dynamics. Albany, NY, EUA: System Dynamics Society, 2018. Disponível em https://www.systemdynamics.org/what-is-sd. Acesso em: 20 set. 2018.
STUMPF, Ida Regina Chittó. Reflexões sobre as revistas brasileiras. Intexto, v. 1, n. 3, p. 1-10, 1998.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2019 Vinícius Medina Kern, Mauricio Uriona Maldonado
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
Authors will keep their copyright and grant the journal with the right of first publication, the work licensed under License Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0), which allows for the sharing of work and the recognition of authorship.
Authors can take on additional contracts separately for non-exclusive distribution of the version of the work published in this journal, such as publishing in an institutional repository, acknowledging its initial publication in this journal.
The articles are open access and free. In accordance with the license, you must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
