BOAS ADMINISTRAÇÕES ELEGEM CANDIDATOS? UMA ANÁLISE DO COMPORTAMENTO DOS ELEITORES EM SETE CAPITAIS BRASILEIRAS NAS ELEIÇÕES DE 2008

Abstract

Are well evaluated mayors reelected or elect their peers? This article aims at testing the following hypothesis considering the Brazilian 2008 elections, presented by Almeida (2008): is a good government reelected or elects its supporters? The article presents the results of seven Brazilian capitals in 2008. At first I verify if there is a relationship between a well evaluated mayor administration and election success. I consider good administration as the causal variable that explains the victory of the candidate. However, when we analyze the election results from the seven capitals, other variable come up to explain the victory of the candidates in the elections. This means that the variable good administration when considered alone is not enough to explain the success of a political candidate. Using qualitative and quantitative research and developing a detailed analysis of election in Recife in 2008, this article concludes that the good administration variable affects the electoral success of a candidate. And that other variables also matter to explain the electoral victory of the candidate.