The causes of electoral support for Vox in Spain

Abstract

The analysis aims to understand the reasons why 15% of voters decided to support Vox on November 10, 2019. The main conditions for the emergence of said party are addressed, as well as the evolution of their voting intention and its relationship with the chain of significant events that occurred during 2018 and 2019, resulting in the concern for Catalan secessionism being the main trigger for the party’s success. Finally, a survey analysis is presented to explain the reasons and characteristics associated with Vox. The several explanatory variables and their weight are presented. From the comparison with other right-wing parties, it was found that the behaviors are shared with other right-wing voters, but they are more pronounced and radical in Vox. What differentiates them the most is, in this order: age (youth), authoritarianism, concern for immigration, and higher score on the left-right scale.