O PAPEL DO CICLO DE PREÇOS DAS COMMODITIES NO DESEMPENHO RECENTE DAS EXPORTAÇÕES BRASILEIRAS

Authors

  • Daniela Prates
    • Emerson Fernandes Marçal

      DOI:

      https://doi.org/10.22456/2176-5456.10909

      Keywords:

      Commodities cycle prices. Brazilian exports. China effect. Global macroeconomic scenario.

      Abstract

      This paper aims to analyze the Brazilian export performance by the effects that traditional factor like world demand and real exchange rate have on quantum and prices of the exports. After analyzed the international commodities recent cycle and the performance of the Brazilian exports in the last years, the papers suggested, based on an econometric model, that most of the exceptional performance of this exports in the period of 2001-2006 was due to a huge rise in the prices of the products exported by Brazil. This rise had a direct effect on the value of the exports and an indirect effect on the quantum by making the export sector more profitable. The paper also suggests that most of the rise in Brazilian export products may be explained by a cyclical component in the prices that has reached its maximum. There is evidence of an important cyclical component in the price of Brazilian exports.

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      Author Biographies

      Daniela Prates

      Ntualmente é revisora da ConTexto - Revista do Núcleo de Estudos e Pesquisas em Contabilidade da Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul. Tem experiência na área de Letras, com ênfase em Tradução e Revisão Textual, atuando principalmente nos seguintes temas: Controladoria, Ciências Contábeis, Administração e Economia. Realiza também revisão e formatação conforme a ABNT em teses e dissertações dos temas já mencionados.

      Emerson Fernandes Marçal

      Não há resumo.

      Published

      2009-10-15

      How to Cite

      Prates, D., & Marçal, E. F. (2009). O PAPEL DO CICLO DE PREÇOS DAS COMMODITIES NO DESEMPENHO RECENTE DAS EXPORTAÇÕES BRASILEIRAS. Análise Econômica, 26(49). https://doi.org/10.22456/2176-5456.10909